پرسش‌های این درس
  • فرآیند تصمیم گیری چگونه است؟
  • چطور می‌توانیم متوجه شویم که در یک سازمان تصمیم‌ها چگونه گرفته می‌شوند؟
  • چه منابعی برای فهم ساختار تصمیم‌گیری قابل استفاده هستند؟
  • مدل سازی گروهی چگونه می‌تواند به فهم بهتر ساختارها و سیاست‌ها کمک کند؟
  • هدایت تیم مدل سازی گروهی به چه مهارت‌هایی نیاز دارد؟
  • چه فرآیندهایی می‌توانند به افزایش عملکرد یک برنامه مدل سازی گروهی کمک کنند؟
  • Policies, Decisions and Information Sources for Modeling

    1992, Jay Forrester, Policies, Decisions and Information Sources for Modeling

    • The feedback view of management and policy
    • Nature of the decision process
    • Policy
    • Detecting guiding policies
    • Overt and implicit decisions
    • Inputs to policies
    • Determining the form of a policy statement
      • Inputs to include
      • Direction of Effect
      • Magnitudes of effects hz policies
      • Nonlinear policies
    • Noise in decision streams
    • Sources of information
      • Mental data
      • Written data
      • Numerical data
    • Reliability of information
    • Use of information in the modeling process

    Teamwork in Group Model Building

    1995, G.P. Richardson, D.F. Andersen, Teamwork in Group Model Building

    • Initial Modeling Motivation
    • Five Roles in Group Model Building
      • Facilitator
      • Modeler/Reflector
      • Process Coach
      • Recorder
      • GateKeeper
    • Perceived Value of recognizing the five roles
    • Skills
    • Scripts
    • Concept Models
    • Dos and Don'ts
    • Role Conflicts
    • Explainer/Elicitor Conflicts
    • The Client Group
    • The Uniquely Gifted Practitioner Hypothesis

    Scripts for Group Model Building

    1997, D.F. Andersen, G.P. Richardson, Scripts for Group Model Building

    • Planning for the Modeling Conference
      • Goal Setting/Managing the Scope of Work
      • Logistics
      • Types of Group Task Structure
      • Scheduling the Day
      • Guiding Principles for the Day Plan
      • Clarify Expectations and Products - Concept Models
      • Selecting Scripts
    • Scripted Techniques for Group Model Building
      • Scripts for Defining the Problem
      • Scripts for Conceptualizing Model Structure
      • Scripts for Eliciting Feedback Structure
      • Scripts supporting Equation writing and Parametrization
      • Scripts for Policy Development (but not testing)
    • Closing a Group Model Building Conference - End with a Bang
    • Next Steps in Group Model Building Research

    Group Model Building: Adding more Science to the craft

    1997, D.F. Andersen, G.P. Richardson, Group Model Building: Adding more Science to the craft

    • Properties o f a good research program
      • Replicable
      • Cumulative
      • Refutable
    • Goals of Group Model Building
    • The Intervention: Components and Scripts
    • Components of Group Model Building
    • What are the "Scripts" for these Components?
    • Theory Development
    • Research design
      • Case Study
      • Survey Research
      • Experiments
      • Measurement Problems
      • Practical Problems

    Expert Knowledge Elicitation to improve Formal and Mental Models

    1997, DN Ford, JD Sterman, Expert Knowledge Elicitation to improve Formal and Mental Models

    • Methods of Expert Knowledge Elicitation for Modeling
    • The Knowledge Elicitation Method
      • The Positioning Phase
        • Establish Context
        • Focus on One Relationship at a time
        • Illustrate the Method
      • The Description Phase
        • Visual Description
        • Verbal Description
        • Textual Description
        • Graphic Description
      • The Discussion Phase
        • Examine Individual Description
        • Compare Descriptions
    • Using the results of the elicitation methods

    Group Model-Building: Tackling Messy Problems

    1999, Jac A. M. Vennix, Group Model-Building: Tackling Messy Problems

    • The evolution of group model building
    • Individual sources of messy problems: limited information processing capacity
    • Individual sources of messy problems: perceptions and reality construction
    • Group sources of messy problems
      • Deficiencies in group interaction
      • Reality construction in groups: the reality of multiple realities
      • Implications for Group Model-Building: the role of facilitation
    • Critical characteristics of an effective facilitator
      • Facilitation attitudes
      • Facilitation skills
        • Thorough knowledge of system dynamics
        • Process Structuring Skills
        • Conflict Handling Skills
        • Communication Skills

    Anatomy of a Group Model-Building Intervention: Building Dynamic Theory from Case Study Research

    2002, Luis Felipe Luna-Reyes et al., Anatomy of a Group Model-Building Intervention: Building Dynamic Theory from Case Study Research

    • Script 1: Scheduling The Day
    • Script 2: Logistics and Room Arrangements
    • Script 3: Hopes and Fears
    • Script 4: Concept Model
    • Script 5: Variable Elicitation
    • Script 6: Reference Modes Elicitation
    • Script 7: Structure Elicitation
    • Script 8: Reflector Feedback
    • Script 9: Transferring Group Ownership from one Image to another
    • Postscript: Project Update

    مروری بر پرسش‌های این درس
  • فرآیند تصمیم گیری چگونه است؟
  • چطور می‌توانیم متوجه شویم که در یک سازمان تصمیم‌ها چگونه گرفته می‌شوند؟
  • چه منابعی برای فهم ساختار تصمیم‌گیری قابل استفاده هستند؟
  • مدل سازی گروهی چگونه می‌تواند به فهم بهتر ساختارها و سیاست‌ها کمک کند؟
  • هدایت تیم مدل سازی گروهی به چه مهارت‌هایی نیاز دارد؟
  • چه فرآیندهایی می‌توانند به افزایش عملکرد یک برنامه مدل سازی گروهی کمک کنند؟
  • منابع مطالعه برای جلسه بعد
    1968, Jay Forrester, Principles of Systems
    • Chapter 1: Systems
    • Chapter 2: Preview of Feedback Dynamics
    • Chapter 3: Models and Simulation
    • Chapter ۴: Structure of Systems
      • Closed Boundary
      • Feedback Loop--Structural Element of Systems
      • Levels and Rates--the Substructure Within Feedback Loops
      • Goal, Observation, Discrepancy, Action--Sub-substructure within a Rate
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    فیل مولوی

    دوره آموزشی آنلاین

    آشنایی با «تفکر سیستمی»

    مدرس: محمدعلی اسماعیل زاده اصل